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美国的猪流感到底严重不严重？
新华社有一篇引自中国青年报的新闻报道，流感肆虐 美国媒体假装看不见说美国媒体在面对美国的H1N1始称“猪流感”的报道时集体失语。新闻说“而一向标榜信息公开的美国媒体，此时好像集体失语，在电视上很难看到有关流感的报道，在一些主流媒体如CNN、美国在线、雅虎等网站上，也看不到确诊病例的数量、所在城市等具体信息。”
为此特意去到Google News上去看了今天关于“猪流感”的一则新闻，是来自CDC-美国疾病控制与预防中心的消息。
标题：CDC: 100,000+ in U.S. Have Flu, Half Have Swine Flu
副标题：As Swine Flu Spreads, Flu Cases 'Widespread' or 'Regional' in 22 States
By Daniel J. DeNoon
WebMD Health NewsReviewed by Louise Chang, MD
May 15, 2009 -- More than 100,000 Americans probably have the flu -- and at least half of these cases are H1N1 swine flu, a CDC expert estimates.
The comment came from Daniel Jernigan, MD, PhD, deputy director of the CDC's influenza division, during a news conference.
Jernigan noted that the 4,700 confirmed or probable cases of swine flu reported to CDC represent a gross underestimate. When asked how many actual cases there were, Jernigan noted that 7% to 10% of the U.S. population -- up to 30 million people -- get the seasonal flu each year.
"So with the amount of activity we are seeing now, it is a little hard to know what that means in terms of making an estimate now of the total number of people with flu out in the community," Jernigan said. "But if I had to make an estimate, I would say ... probably upwards of maybe 100,000."
The CDC's most recent data, for the week ending May 9, shows that about half of Americans with confirmed flu had the H1N1 swine flu. If Jernigan's off-the-cuff estimate is correct, more than 50,000 people in the U.S. have the new flu.
At a time when flu season should be ending or over, the CDC's flu season indicators are going up instead of down. As of May 9, 22 states had widespread or regional flu.
Meanwhile, Arizona's Maricopa County -- home to Phoenix -- reported that a woman in her late 40s died from complications of the H1N1 swine flu. She is the nation's fourth H1N1 swine flu fatality. The woman had an underlying lung disease, according to the Maricopa County public health department.
Despite the death, the CDC's marker for flu severity -- deaths from pneumonia or flu -- did not increase beyond normal levels for this time of year. This so-called "epidemic threshold" is 7.4% of all deaths; for the week ending May 9, flu/pneumonia deaths were 7.2% of all deaths.
One of the most alarming signs of a flu pandemic is a lot of severe illness in people who don't usually suffer severe flu cases -- older children and young adults.
Most of the 173 people hospitalized in the U.S. with H1N1 swine flu have been between 5-24 years old.
"At this point, we're not seeing the seriousness of illness in the United States that was initially reported in Mexico, but this certainly does not mean that the outbreak is over," Jernigan said. "The H1N1 virus is not going away. We know that the outbreak is not localized but is spreading and appears to be expanding throughout the United States.
就本人在纽约的情况看，的确在各个地方都没有觉得很紧张，今天听到的一则新闻是纽约市从昨天（14日）将三所学校关闭，其中两个在法拉盛，另外一个在布鲁克林。他们分别是
JHS 74Q (Nathanial Hawthorne School, 1021 students) in Bayside: 26 students with documented flu-like symptoms.
P.S. 107Q (Thomas A. Dooley, 891 students) in Flushing: Flu-like symptoms were documented as being persistently high this week and 49 students were documented with flu-like symptoms.
I.S. 318K (Eugenio Maria De Hostos, 1517 students) in Williamsburg: 53 students were documented with flu-like symptoms this week.
事实上，从市政府网站能够得到最新的关于“猪流感病毒”的情况，同时互联网电视广播和报纸等新闻也能够得到关于猪流感病情的情况，因此并没有在民众中间造成恐慌。
另有消息称，有一个校长助理病情严重。 |
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发表于 2009-5-15 20:41
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发表于 2009-5-18 08:11
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